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☆ Immigrant workers are helping boost the U.S. labor market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Kate Rogers | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The strong jobs market has been bolstered post-pandemic by strength in the immigrant workforce in America. And as Americans age out of the labor force and birth rates remain low, economists and the Federal Reserve are touting the importance of immigrant workers for overall future economic growth. Immigrant workers made up 18.6% of the workforce last year, a new record, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Despite the U.S. adding fewer-than-expected jobs in April, the labor force participation rate for foreign-born workers ticked up slightly, to 66%. "We don't have enough workers participating in the labor force and our birth rate has dropped down 2% last year from 2022 to 2023.

Persons: Jennie Murray, Phillip Swagel, Swagel Organizations: Federal, of Labor Statistics, Workers, National Immigration, Congressional Locations: America

☆ Runaway government debt could sink markets and slam the economy, 2 watchdogs warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US government's ballooning interest payments are eating a hole in its budget, they said. "We are headed toward record spending levels, record deficit levels, record debt levels, record interest payments — the list goes and on," Maya MacGuineas, the president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, told Fox Business this week. While the US isn't at imminent risk of that kind of chaos, bond markets could "snap back" if the government's interest payments soar to $1 trillion in 2026 as expected, Swagel said. AdvertisementHowever, she noted that some experts on Wall Street were "incredibly worried" about the national debt and interest payments. DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach has also sounded the alarm on debt payments.

Persons: —, MacGuineas, Philip Swagel, Liz Truss, Swagel, bitcoin, Jim Rogers, George Soros, He's, Jeffrey Gundlach Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal Budget, Fox Business, Congressional, Office, Financial Times, Bank of, CBO, Wall, DoubleLine

☆ US debt: Is America at risk of a Liz Truss-style market meltdown? The CBO thinks so
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

In an interview with the Financial Times, CBO director Phillip Swagel said US government debt — which the Treasury Department puts at nearly $35 trillion — is on an “unprecedented” trajectory. UK government bonds, or gilts, and the pound sold off sharply, partly in response to plans by Truss to issue more debt in order to pay for tax cuts. Mortgage rates and other borrowing costs soared as investors demanded much higher premiums for owning UK debt. He has promised to extend his 2017 tax cuts and has also spoken about reducing the corporate tax rate from the current 21% to 15%. “I will make the Trump tax cuts the largest tax cut in history,” he said last month at the Black Conservative Federation’s Honors Gala in South Carolina.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Liz, ”, Truss, ” Swagel, Dave Ramsden, Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, Fitch, “, Trump Organizations: London CNN, Congressional, Financial Times, Treasury Department, CNN, Bank of England, Democrats, Trump, Black Conservative, US Treasury, Federal, CBO Locations: United States, United Kingdom, South Carolina

☆ Interest on national debt could threaten U.S. economic stability, CBO director tells House panel
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Ryan Anastasio | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CBO Director Phillip Swagel testifies during the House Budget Committee hearing titled "The Congressional Budget Office's Budget and Economic Outlook," in Longworth Building on Wednesday, February 14, 2024. The director of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office warned House lawmakers Wednesday that the ballooning national debt and the cost of paying interest on it could become an existential threat to the U.S. economy. "Rising interest costs will crowd out other possible uses of government resources, and then also pose a risk to our economic stability" in the coming decade, CBO director Phillip Swagel told the budget committee at a hearing on Capitol Hill. Swagel's testimony centered around CBO's semi-annual report on the federal budget and the economy, released Feb. 7. The CBO report projected that the yearly U.S. budget deficit would grow by an estimated $1 trillion over the next 10 years.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Swagel, Kevin McCarthy, Dan Kildee, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden's Organizations: Economic, Capitol, CBO, Republicans, GOP, Democrat, Congress Locations: Longworth, U.S, CBO's, Michigan

☆ CBO Director Phillip Swagel: U.S. deficit projected to climb to $2.6 trillion in 2034
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBO Director Phillip Swagel: U.S. deficit projected to climb to $2.6 trillion in 2034CBO Director Phillip Swagel joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of U.S. debt, the agency's deficit forecast, the impact of IRS tax enforcement on revenue collection, and more.

Persons: Phillip Swagel Locations: U.S

☆ The US economy will grow by an extra $7 trillion over the next decade due to immigration, the CBO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US economy will grow by an extra $7 trillion over the next decade, according to estimates from the CBO. "The labor force in 2033 is larger by 5.2 million people, mostly because of higher net immigration. AdvertisementThe CBO also found that net immigration has risen since 2022, and it expects it to remain elevated through 2026. The US labor force is expected to surge over the next decade thanks to strong net immigration trends. Another knock-on effect of America's net immigration trends is its impact on the housing market, since it should result in continued demand for new homes.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Swagel, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CBO, Congressional, Office, Immigrants Locations: Japan, America

☆ Budget office projects Biden green energy plan will cost much more than initial estimate
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Chelsey Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON — The U.S. budget deficit will grow by an estimated $1 trillion over the next 10 years, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projected in a new report Wednesday. "I came to office determined to ... face the existential threat of climate and still grow, to fundamentally change our economy, and to transition this country to a clean energy future," Biden said last October. Taken together, CBO estimates that the impact of new emissions standards, clean energy tax credits and falling gas tax revenue as people buy less gas, will add $25 billion to the budget deficit this year. "Those costs reflect new emissions standards, market developments, and actions taken by the administration to implement the tax provisions." The CBO also noted that there are still many unknowns about how green energy will impact the economy and the federal budget longer term.

Persons: WASHINGTON, Joe Biden's, Biden, Philip Swagel, EPA's Organizations: CBO, Environmental Protection Agency Locations: The, U.S

☆ The deficit would still be wide even if rates went down, says CBO Director Phillip Swagel
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe deficit would still be wide even if rates went down, says CBO Director Phillip SwagelPhillip Swagel, Congressional Budget Office Director, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the deficit, its outlook, and more.

Persons: Phillip Swagel Phillip Swagel, Steve Liesman Organizations: Congressional

☆ CBO Director Phillip Swagel on U.S. deficit: An unusual and very challenging fiscal situation
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBO Director Phillip Swagel on U.S. deficit: An unusual and very challenging fiscal situationPhillip Swagel, Congressional Budget Office Director, joins 'Squawk Bo' to discuss the fallout from Fitch's rating downgrade, which cited federal debt levels as one of the reasons for the downgrade, U.S. debt fears following CBO's projection that the nation's debt will soon exceed its all time high and skyrocket to 181% by 2053, and more.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Bo Organizations: Congressional

☆ The U.S. could hit the debt ceiling by June 1, much sooner than expected, Yellen warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-01 | by ( Christina Wilkie | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

WASHINGTON — Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Monday warned that the United States may run out of measures to pay its debt obligations by June 1, earlier than the government and Wall Street had been expecting. The combination of Yellen's letter and the new CBO estimate added a fresh sense of urgency to stalled negotiations between President Joe Biden and McCarthy's Republican majority in the House. "Republicans' failure to agree to cleanly raise the debt ceiling has brought the United States to the brink of economic catastrophe," said Democratic Senate Budget Committee chairman Sheldon Whitehouse, R.I., in response to Yellen's letter. The Goldman Sachs estimate noted that so far there have been few ripples in the markets from rising debt-related risk. But this could change, analysts wrote, "once the Treasury announces a specific deadline for Congress to raise the debt limit."

☆ House Republicans to highlight US debt ahead of Biden budget proposal
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( David Morgan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

WASHINGTON, March 8 (Reuters) - U.S. House Republicans plan to focus on the federal government's $31.4 trillion debt in a closed-door meeting on Wednesday, the day before President Joe Biden unveils a 2024 spending plan the White House says will help limit the debt's growth. The emergence of the two budgets are seen as the starting gun for negotiations between House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Biden over spending for fiscal 2024, which begins Sept. 1. The stakes of those talks are elevated this year as the federal government is expected to hit the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling by summer. McCarthy wants Biden to agree to spending cuts before his narrow Republican House majority would agree to raise the debt ceiling. Biden insists that Republicans must agree to a "clean" debt ceiling increase without a preliminary deal on spending.

☆ CBO Director Phillip Swagel: There's broad consensus in Congress to tackle budget concerns
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBO Director Phillip Swagel: There's broad consensus in Congress to tackle budget concernsPhill Swagel, the director of The Nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Congressional Budget Office's debt warning, the potential for the U.S. to default on its debt, and rising interest payments challenging the U.S. budget window.

☆ U.S. will default this summer unless Congress raises debt limit, CBO warns
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-15 | by ( Christina Wilkie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON — The United States Treasury will exhaust its emergency measures to prevent a debt default sometime between July and September unless Congress raises the $31.4 trillion debt limit, the Congressional Budget Office projected Wednesday. The latest projection notes that the final date will be determined by tax revenues the IRS receives in April. Should those measures be exhausted before President Joe Biden can sign off on a new debt limit passed by Congress, "the government would have to delay making payments for some activities, default on its debt obligations, or both," said Swagel. A large bloc of Republicans in the House have demanded Congress pass drastic cuts to federal spending before they will agree to vote to raise the debt limit, effectively using their leverage within the GOP to force their priorities to the front of the line. Republicans argue that the debt limit and annual federal spending are inextricably linked, the same way household debt is a product of household spending.

"If the debt limit is not raised or suspended before the extraordinary measures are exhausted, the government would be unable to pay its obligations fully," the CBO report said. "As a result, the government would have to delay making payments for some activities, default on its debt obligations, or both." CBO Director Phillip Swagel attributed the rise to higher interest rates that particularly are hitting the housing industry, coupled with slowing business investment. REUTERS/Elizabeth FrantzRepublicans, who control the House of Representatives, want to withhold a debt limit increase until Democrats agree to deep spending cuts. Democrats in turn say the debt limit should not be "held hostage" to Republican tactics over federal spending.

☆ The fiscal risk comes from interest rates in the near term, says CBO Director Phil Swagel
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe fiscal risk comes from interest rates in the near term, says CBO Director Phil SwagelPhil Swagel, director of the Congressional Budget Office, joins CNBC's 'Squawk Box' to discuss how government spending could impact the nation's inflation response.

☆ Biden’s student loan cancellation plan to cost $400B, Congressional Budget Office estimates
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-26 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Rebecca-Shabad-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Rebecca Shabad | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden's plan to forgive $10,000 in federal student debt for most borrowers will cost the government about $400 billion over 10 years, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said in an estimate released Monday. The report also noted that the administration plan to extend a pause on federal student loans will also cost about $20 billion. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a group that advocates for lower deficits, said the CBO's predictions confirm "the outrageous cost" of Biden's student loan plan. "The Biden Administration’s student debt bailout is even more expensive than we initially thought," tweeted Rep. Andy Biggs, R-Ariz. "The current bailout will cost Americans $420 BILLION, according to the CBO. Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, R-Iowa, tweeted, "President Biden isn’t forgiving student loans—he’s charging hardworking Americans $400 billion."

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